Latest News

FOMC Projections and Press Conference

Statement here.

Fed Chair Powell press conference video here or on YouTube here, starting at 2:30 PM ET.

Here are the projections. In March, most participants expected seven rate hikes in 2022.  Now, participants expect thirteen 25bp rate hikes in 2022.

Wall Street forecasts are being revised down for 2022 due to the ongoing negative impacts from the pandemic. the war in Ukraine and financial tightening. The FOMC lowered their 2022 forecast down to similar growth rates.

GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Change in Real GDP1

Projection Date
2022
2023
2024

June 2022
1.5 to 1.9
1.3 to 2.0
1.5 to 2.0

Mar 2022
2.5 to 3.0
2.1 to 2.5
1.8 to 2.0

1 Projections of change in real GDP and inflation are from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year indicated.

The unemployment rate was at 3.6% in May. The FOMC increased their projections for the unemployment rate for Q4 2022.



Unemployment projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Unemployment Rate2

Projection Date
2022
2023
2024

June 2022
3.6 to 3.8
3.8 to 4.1
3.9 to 4.1

Mar 2022
3.4 to 3.6
3.3 to 3.6
3.2 to 3.7

2 Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated.

As of April 2022, PCE inflation was up 6.3% from April 2021.   The FOMC revised up sharply their inflation projections for 2022.

Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, PCE Inflation1

Projection Date
2022
2023
2024

June 2022
5.0 to 5.3
2.4 to 3.0
2.0 to 2.5

Mar 2022
4.1 to 4.7
2.3 to 3.0
2.1 to 2.4

PCE core inflation was up 4.9% in April year-over-year. And the FOMC revised up their projections.

Core Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents, Core Inflation1

Projection Date
2022
2023
2024

June 2022
4.2 to 4.5
2.5 to 3.2
2.1 to 2.5

Mar 2022
3.9 to 4.4
2.4 to 3.0
2.1 to 2.4

What is your reaction?

Excited
0
Happy
0
In Love
0
Not Sure
0
Silly
0

You may also like

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

More in:Latest News